Decision-making

Managing Australia's biodiversity requires robust approaches to decision making, especially for investments into longer-term programs. CEBRA has reviewed and developed frameworks for supporting the decision-making process in biosecurity management.

CEBRA Reports

Title	Project	Chief Investigators	Year
Making Robust Decisions with a Model Subject to Severe Uncertainty	1304B	Mascaro, S	11/7/14
Using decision support tools in emergency animal disease planning and response: foot-and-mouth disease	1404D/ 1504D	Garner, G., East, I., Bradhurst, R., Roche, S., Rawdon, T., Sanson, R., Kompas, T., Ha, P.V. & Stevenson, M.	3/4/17
Baseline 'Consequence Measures' for Australia from the Torres Strait Islands Pathway to Queensland: Papaya Fruit Fly, Citrus Canker and Rabies	1405C ID5	Kompas, T., Ha, P.V. and Spring, D.	13/11/15
Risk based management for imported ornamental fin-fish	1305A	Robinson, A. and Hood, Y.	28/04/15
Valuing Australia's biosecurity system - Year One report	1607A	Dodd, A., Spring, D., Schneider, K., Hafi, A., Fraser, H. and Kompas, T.	25/5/18
Methodology to guide responses to marine pest incursions under the National Environmental Biosecurity Response Agreement - Final Report BCA - Hypothetical Incursion	1608E	Summerson, R., Hester, S and Graham, S.	3/7/18
Scoping the value and performance of interventions across the NZ Biosecurity system	1606E	Robinson, A., Brockerhoff, E. and Ormsby, M.	18/6/18
Defensible resource allocation for plant health surveillance: Optimal border and post-border surveillance expenditures	1608A	Kompas, T., Chu, L., Van Ha, P., Nguyen, H.T.M., Collins, S. and Subasinghe, R.	30/11/17
Vector-borne spread of animal disease	1608B	Kompas, T., Bradhurst, R., Iglesias, R., East, I., Garner, G., Stevenson, M. and Al-Riyami, S.	30/8/17
Biosecurity response decision support framework Non-market valuation of environmental impacts for biosecurity incursion Cost Benefit Analysis: A guidance manual for public policy Basic unit value transfer template	170820	Hester, S., Tait, P., Rutherford, P. and Temoso, O. Tait, P. and Rutherford, P. Tait, P. and Rutherford, P.	5/9/19 06/18 06/18
A framework for prioritising plant pests	1502D	Levontin, P., Hester, S. and Burgman, M.	30/4/19
Evaluating the health of Australia's biosecurity system	170714	Schneider, K. and Arndt, E.	06/20
Evaluating the health of Australia's biosecurity system Summary of Technical Report: Key Performance Indicators of "Anticipate" and "Prevent" Activities	170714	Lane, S.E., Baumgartner, J.B. and Robinson, A.P.	16/6/20
Key result summary: Valuing Australia's biosecurity system	170713	Dodd, A., Stoeckl, N., Baumgartner, J. and Kompas, T.	08/20
Values and vulnerabilities: what are the values of the assets that are protected by Australia's biosecurity system and how vulnerable are they to incursions? Values and vulnerabilities: Appendices	170713	Stoeckl, N., Dodd, A. and Kompas, T.	06/21
CEBRA research: harnessing past and new work to improve uptake and impact of best practice risk analysis approaches in MPI analysis	180702	Hester, S. and Reed, C.	06/21
Re-evaluating management of established pests including the European Wasp, Vespula germanica using biocontrol agents	190804	Cacho, O., Hester, S. and Tait, P.	01/21
Improving the methodology for consequence assessment of amenity and environmental pests	20110801	Hester, S. and Mayo, A.	05/21
The impact of evidence on decision making	19NZ02	Kruger, A., van Gelder, T. and Thorburn, L.	09/21
Stakeholder perceptions of and options for refining the CEBRA 'Value' model for use within DAWE	20100401	Dodd, A., Baumgartner, J. and Kompas, T.	11/21
Environmental Biosecurity Risk Assessment for conservation areas 1) Decision Support spreadsheet 2) Decision Support demonstration spreadsheet 3) Conservation Biosecurity expert judgements spreadsheet	20111101	Walshe, T. Davis, M. de Bie, K and Kompas T.	12/21
Design a statistically valid pathway slippage audit system	20NZ01	Robinson, A., Merrilees, N. and Ormsby, M.	04/22

ACERA II Reports

Title	Project	Chief Investigators	Year
Potential methods and tools for estimating biosecurity consequences for primary production, amenity, and the environment	1002A ID2	Cook, D; Long, G; Possingham, H; Failing, L; Burgman, M; Gregory, R; Estevez, R; Walshe, T	30/05/12
A review of current methods and tools used by biosecurity agencies to estimate consequence impacts on primary production, amenity, and the environment	1002A ID1	Walshe, T; Cole, M; Grant, N; Failing, L; Long, G; Gregory, R	16/02/12
Time preference and value of information in the context of estimating consequences	1002A ID3	Rout, T; Spring, D; Runge, M; Robinson, A; Walshe, T.	16/02/12
Measuring the cost of human morbidity from zoonotic diseases	1002B ID1	Jordan, H; Dunt, D; Hollingsworth, B; Burgman, M.	24/06/13
A decision framework for estimating consequence impacts under operational conditions.Case study: Review of the Emergency Plant Pest Categorisation Questionnaire	1002B ID2	Hemming, V; Walshe, T	16/02/12
Comparing multi-criteria analysis and cost benefit analysis for biosecurity	1102C ID3	Kompas, T; Liu, S.	13/02/14
Post-border decision-support tools: A tool to support the decision to switch between eradication and containment of an invasion Switching Point Model Switching Point Model User Manual	1004C	Cacho, O; Hester, S	2013
Post-border surveillance techniques: review, synthesis and deployment (Milestone 1 report)	1004	Hester, S; Hauser, C; Kean. J; Walshe, T; Robinson, A.	09/10

ACERA I Reports

Title	Project	Chief Investigators	Year
Reconciling uncertain costs and benefits in Bayes nets for invasive species management	0601 & 0611	Burgman, M., Wintle, B.A., Thompson, C.A., Moilanen, A., Runge, M.C. and Ben-Haim, Y.	01/11/08
Qualitative modelling and Bayesian network analysis for risk-based biosecurity decision making in complex systems	0601	Dambacher, J.M., Shenton, W., Hayes, K.R., Hart, B.T. and Barry, S.	01/03/08
Optimal allocation of resources to emergency response actions for invasive species	0604	Hauser, C., Rout, T., Baxter, P., McCarthy, M. and Possingham, H.	01/07/07
Using sighting records to declare eradication of an invasive species	0604	Possingham, H., Rout, T.M., Salomon, Y. and McCarthy, M.	01/11/08
Targeting monitoring for pest management: an optimisation approach	0604	Possingham, H., Hauser, C. and McCarthy, M.	01/11/08
Uses and misuses of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) in environmental decision-making	0610	Colyvan, M; Regan, H, Steele, K., Carmel, Y., Cross, J. and Wilcox, C.	01/11/08
Simplifying models of alien biota	0704	Hearne, J	01/07/07
Evaluating vegetation condition measures for cost effective biodiversity investment planning	0706	Gorrod, E., Keith, D., Moilanen, A., Robinson, A., Burgman, M., van Teeffelen, A., Ben-Haim, Y., Ferrier, F. and Lawson, K.	15/06/09
Principles for prioritising exotic pests	0707	Baker, J and Stuckey, M.	20/11/09
Deliberative methods for assessing utilities	0803	Cook, D.C	15/06/09
Community Practice for Structured Decision-Making: Phase II	0809a	Christian, R	20/11/09
Strategies for managing invasive species	0902	Chades, I.	16/11/10
Combining GIS and Bayesian Networks in test-action strategies for risk assessment	0905	Pullar, D., Smith, C. and Pollino, C.	09/03/11