Expert judgement

Obtaining expert opinion is a common approach if environmental data are poor or unattainable in biosecurity risk analysis. CEBRA has combined different strategies into a single comprehensive procedure which supports the iterative process of modelling of incursion risk.

CEBRA Reports

Title

Project

Chief Investigators

Year

Development of an expert-based model for improved biofouling risk assessment

1402A ID5

Barry, S. C., Caley, P., Liu, S., Paini, D. R., Carey, J. and Clark, G.

13/11/15

ACERA I Reports

Title

Project

Chief Investigators

Year

Eliciting expert judgements: Process Manual

0611

Burgman, M

16/11/10

Reconciling uncertain costs and benefits in Bayes nets for invasive species management

0611

Hayes, K; Burgman, M

01/11/08

Reducing overconfidence in internal judgements of experts

0611

Burgman, M

01/11/08

Linguistic uncertainty in qualitative risk analysis and how to minimize it

0611

Burgman, M

01/11/08

Assessment of strategies for evaluating extreme risks

0602

Franklin, J

01/05/07

Evaluation and development of formal consensus methods

607

Colyvan, M

15/06/09

Is probability the only coherent approach to uncertainty?

607

Colyvan, M

01/11/08

Uses and misuses of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) in environmental decision-making

607

Colyvan, M; Regan, H

01/11/08

Survey of group 'consensus' methods

607

Colyvan, M

01/11/08

Bayesian Learning and Synthesis through the Elicitation of Risk: BLASTER

0705D

Hayes, K; Barry S

31/05/11

Point of truth calibration: Putting science into scoring systems

0705E

Hayes, K; Barry S

31/05/11

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