Photo of Auckland by Sulthan Auliya on Unsplash

Value-added modelling to enhance post-border surveillance investment

Project lead: Anca Hanea

This project will extend and enhance existing CEBRA work by generalising and improving an approach that was originally used to estimate the value of surveillance for spongy moth in New Zealand.

The approach will be linked to the Ministry for Primary Industries’ IBRAM resource and CEBRA's Biosecurity Commons platform to provide estimates of the financial ROI of post-border surveillance schemes, in terms of the trade-off of the cost of surveillance and the reduction in damages resulting from earlier detection than might occur in the absence of surveillance. This will broaden the relevance of the approach and align it with the Value of New Zealand biosecurity project.

The project will begin by examining up to four case study threats posed by invasive species, selected to represent a range of contexts and challenges. Following this, the focus will broaden to evaluate surveillance efforts at high-risk sites, starting with marine environments and subsequently moving to terrestrial ones. Finally, the project will assess the broader value and effectiveness of MPI’s general surveillance.

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